Presenting a fuzzy model for fuzzy portfolio optimization with the mean absolute deviation risk function

The main purpose of this paper is portfolio optimization with the use of fuzzy method based on the mean absolute deviation risk function in firms listed in Tehran Stock Market. In the present research, for the purpose of fuzzy portfolio optimization the stock portfolio Value at Risk criterion and for calculation of this value the parametric method and for fuzzy optimization also the Hybrid intelligent algorithms (genetic algorithms and neural networks) have been used. For selecting the portfolio with 15 during the research time span (2005-2011) fuzzy optimization based on the following six criteria were used including Asymmetric Value at Risk, Symmetric Value at Risk , Interval Value at Risk (interval of 5%-95%), Interval Value at Risk (interval of 10%-90%), and Normal Value at Risk. Since the calculated probability ratio statistic Kupiec based on fuzzy optimization for the 6 above mentioned models is larger than the obtained critical value from chi-square distribution at the confidence level of 95%, the research hypothesis stating that the application of fuzzy optimization method improves the efficiency of portfolio in the actual world problems with lack of certainty was confirmed. Also, the results of the Kupiec probability ratio statistic indicate that the model of value at risk based on the mean absolute deviation risk function (MVAR) is more successful and have less failure comparing to other models, hence; the research hypothesis stating that fuzzy variables have a higher ability in modeling asymmetric uncertainties in financial domains is also confirmed

Presenting a fuzzy model for fuzzy portfolio optimization with the mean absolute deviation risk function

The main purpose of this paper is portfolio optimization with the use of fuzzy method based on the mean absolute deviation risk function in firms listed in Tehran Stock Market. In the present research, for the purpose of fuzzy portfolio optimization the stock portfolio Value at Risk criterion and for calculation of this value the parametric method and for fuzzy optimization also the Hybrid intelligent algorithms (genetic algorithms and neural networks) have been used. For selecting the portfolio with 15 during the research time span (2005-2011) fuzzy optimization based on the following six criteria were used including Asymmetric Value at Risk, Symmetric Value at Risk , Interval Value at Risk (interval of 5%-95%), Interval Value at Risk (interval of 10%-90%), and Normal Value at Risk. Since the calculated probability ratio statistic Kupiec based on fuzzy optimization for the 6 above mentioned models is larger than the obtained critical value from chi-square distribution at the confidence level of 95%, the research hypothesis stating that the application of fuzzy optimization method improves the efficiency of portfolio in the actual world problems with lack of certainty was confirmed. Also, the results of the Kupiec probability ratio statistic indicate that the model of value at risk based on the mean absolute deviation risk function (MVAR) is more successful and have less failure comparing to other models, hence; the research hypothesis stating that fuzzy variables have a higher ability in modeling asymmetric uncertainties in financial domains is also confirmed

Presenting a fuzzy model for fuzzy portfolio optimization with the mean absolute deviation risk function

The main purpose of this paper is portfolio optimization with the use of fuzzy method based on the mean absolute deviation risk function in firms listed in Tehran Stock Market. In the present research, for the purpose of fuzzy portfolio optimization the stock portfolio Value at Risk criterion and for calculation of this value the parametric method and for fuzzy optimization also the Hybrid intelligent algorithms (genetic algorithms and neural networks) have been used. For selecting the portfolio with 15 during the research time span (2005-2011) fuzzy optimization based on the following six criteria were used including Asymmetric Value at Risk, Symmetric Value at Risk , Interval Value at Risk (interval of 5%-95%), Interval Value at Risk (interval of 10%-90%), and Normal Value at Risk. Since the calculated probability ratio statistic Kupiec based on fuzzy optimization for the 6 above mentioned models is larger than the obtained critical value from chi-square distribution at the confidence level of 95%, the research hypothesis stating that the application of fuzzy optimization method improves the efficiency of portfolio in the actual world problems with lack of certainty was confirmed. Also, the results of the Kupiec probability ratio statistic indicate that the model of value at risk based on the mean absolute deviation risk function (MVAR) is more successful and have less failure comparing to other models, hence; the research hypothesis stating that fuzzy variables have a higher ability in modeling asymmetric uncertainties in financial domains is also confirmed

Investigating the Relationship between Managers' Narcissism and the Optimistic Tone of Financial Reporting: The Adjusting Role of Earnings Management

Narcissist managers, with behavioral characteristics such as selfishness, domination, and self-aggrandizement, don’t consider rules and regulations important. They manipulate detailed accounting reports opportunistically using positive words in an optimistic manner. This study aims to investigate the relationship between managers' narcissism and the optimistic tone of financial reporting with the moderating role of earnings management. To measure narcissism, two proxies are used: the area of managers’ signatures and the ratio of managers' remuneration to the total annual salary of employees, and vocabulary frequency as a criterion to measure optimistic tone. The sample includes 115 companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange throughout 2011- 2018. To test the research hypotheses, regression has been used. Results indicate that there is a positive and meaningful correlation between the narcissism of managers and the optimistic tone in financial reporting. In other words, narcissist managers consider financial reports prepared based on an optimistic tone as an opportunity to satisfy their insatiable desire for self-promotion. Earnings management has got a positive moderating effect on the correlation of narcissism of managers and optimistic tone in financial reporting